INTELLECTUAL TECHNIQUES AND TOOLS OF EVALUATION OF EFFICIENCY AND RISKS OF SCIENTIFIC-TECHNOLOGICAL, BUSINESS PROJECTS

Abstract: the possibilities and disadvantages of existing specialized tools for financial and economic analysis and forecasting the effectiveness and risks of scientific and technological, business projects are considered. Intellectual methods of their qualitative evaluation based on the analytic hierarchy process, as well as the neuro-fuzzy classifier in the form of an adaptive fuzzy decision tree, the structure of the links of which and the membership functions of the examples in the nodes set the base of fuzzy production rules “If…, then”, providing resistance to deviations and heterogeneities in the data, as well as a more reliable process of fuzzy inference and interpretation of the results.

Keywords: business projects, technologies, efficiency, risks, analysis, forecast

gorbachev